| National Survey of 1,000 U.S. Likely Voters |
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| Conducted
September 9-10, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports |
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| |
Total |
Gender |
Age |
Race |
Party |
Ideology |
Income |
Education |
Employment |
Trump
Approval |
In
the upcoming midterm election in November are you definitely going to vote,
probably going to vote, probably not going to vote or are you definitely not
going to vote? |
Sometimes,
unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election
Day. Are you certain that you will
vote in this year’s elections, or is it possible that something could come up
that would prevent you from voting? |
How
closely have you followed recent news reports about U.S. Supreme Court
nominee Brett Kavanuagh? |
The
U.S. Senate has the constitutional authority to confirm all Supreme Court
nominees. Based upon what you know at this time, should the U.S. Senate
confirm Brett Kavanuagh as a Supreme Court justice? |
Regardless
of whether or not you believe he should be confirmed, how likely is it that
Brett Kavanuagh will be confirmed as a Supreme Court justice? |
Are
you more likely or less likely to vote for a U.S. senator in your state who
votes to confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanuagh? Or would the
Kavanuagh vote have no impact on your voting decision? |
| LV's |
Male |
Female |
18-39 |
40-64 |
65+ |
White |
Black |
Other |
Republican |
Democrat |
Other |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Not sure |
Under $30,000 |
$30,000 - $50,000 |
$50,000 - $100,000 |
$100,000 - $200,000 |
More than $200,000 |
Not sure |
Attended high school, but did not graduate |
High school graduate |
Attended college, but did not complete |
College graduate |
Graduate school |
Not sure |
Gov't |
Entrepreneur |
Private Co. |
Retired |
Other |
Strongly approve |
Somewhat approve |
Somewhat disapprove |
Strongly disapprove |
Not sure |
Definitely going to vote |
Probably going to vote |
Probably not going to vote |
Definitely not going to vote |
Not sure |
Certain |
Something could prevent you from voting |
Not sure |
Very closely |
Somewhat closely |
Not very closely |
Not at all |
Not sure |
Yes |
No |
Not sure |
Very likely |
Somewhat likely |
Not very likely |
Not at all likely |
Not sure |
More likely |
Less likely |
About the same |
Not sure |
| How closely have you followed
recent news reports about U.S. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanuagh? |
Very closely |
53% |
58% |
48% |
36% |
59% |
72% |
53% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
52% |
60% |
45% |
56% |
16% |
47% |
55% |
52% |
60% |
56% |
38% |
40% |
55% |
50% |
51% |
59% |
33% |
48% |
55% |
51% |
69% |
29% |
72% |
23% |
25% |
56% |
3% |
61% |
10% |
7% |
0% |
0% |
60% |
9% |
17% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
61% |
59% |
11% |
66% |
41% |
40% |
42% |
23% |
73% |
52% |
27% |
17% |
| Somewhat
closely |
29% |
29% |
30% |
40% |
24% |
21% |
29% |
29% |
33% |
28% |
31% |
30% |
29% |
31% |
30% |
11% |
30% |
29% |
32% |
29% |
22% |
26% |
25% |
22% |
30% |
34% |
27% |
10% |
38% |
37% |
30% |
20% |
25% |
22% |
49% |
37% |
28% |
0% |
28% |
40% |
44% |
0% |
0% |
28% |
46% |
21% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
30% |
27% |
34% |
27% |
41% |
22% |
24% |
14% |
23% |
34% |
36% |
24% |
| Not
very closely |
12% |
9% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
5% |
13% |
8% |
10% |
15% |
10% |
12% |
7% |
19% |
10% |
33% |
13% |
14% |
11% |
10% |
7% |
22% |
14% |
15% |
15% |
11% |
10% |
0% |
14% |
7% |
14% |
8% |
22% |
4% |
18% |
31% |
11% |
37% |
9% |
35% |
22% |
0% |
20% |
10% |
30% |
15% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
8% |
10% |
33% |
6% |
15% |
20% |
34% |
30% |
4% |
12% |
24% |
24% |
| Not
at all |
5% |
4% |
6% |
9% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
9% |
4% |
3% |
5% |
5% |
3% |
5% |
3% |
40% |
7% |
2% |
4% |
0% |
15% |
11% |
21% |
6% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
5% |
2% |
21% |
2% |
9% |
6% |
3% |
47% |
1% |
13% |
28% |
100% |
80% |
2% |
10% |
43% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
1% |
3% |
20% |
1% |
2% |
15% |
0% |
31% |
0% |
1% |
12% |
26% |
| Not
sure |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
3% |
0% |
2% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
57% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
2% |
3% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
12% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
4% |
4% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
9% |
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| |
Total |
Gender |
Age |
Race |
Party |
Ideology |
Income |
Education |
Employment |
Trump
Approval |
In
the upcoming midterm election in November are you definitely going to vote,
probably going to vote, probably not going to vote or are you definitely not
going to vote? |
Sometimes,
unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election
Day. Are you certain that you will
vote in this year’s elections, or is it possible that something could come up
that would prevent you from voting? |
How
closely have you followed recent news reports about U.S. Supreme Court
nominee Brett Kavanuagh? |
The
U.S. Senate has the constitutional authority to confirm all Supreme Court
nominees. Based upon what you know at this time, should the U.S. Senate
confirm Brett Kavanuagh as a Supreme Court justice? |
Regardless
of whether or not you believe he should be confirmed, how likely is it that
Brett Kavanuagh will be confirmed as a Supreme Court justice? |
Are
you more likely or less likely to vote for a U.S. senator in your state who
votes to confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanuagh? Or would the
Kavanuagh vote have no impact on your voting decision? |
| LV's |
Male |
Female |
18-39 |
40-64 |
65+ |
White |
Black |
Other |
Republican |
Democrat |
Other |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Not sure |
Under $30,000 |
$30,000 - $50,000 |
$50,000 - $100,000 |
$100,000 - $200,000 |
More than $200,000 |
Not sure |
Attended high school, but did not graduate |
High school graduate |
Attended college, but did not complete |
College graduate |
Graduate school |
Not sure |
Gov't |
Entrepreneur |
Private Co. |
Retired |
Other |
Strongly approve |
Somewhat approve |
Somewhat disapprove |
Strongly disapprove |
Not sure |
Definitely going to vote |
Probably going to vote |
Probably not going to vote |
Definitely not going to vote |
Not sure |
Certain |
Something could prevent you from voting |
Not sure |
Very closely |
Somewhat closely |
Not very closely |
Not at all |
Not sure |
Yes |
No |
Not sure |
Very likely |
Somewhat likely |
Not very likely |
Not at all likely |
Not sure |
More likely |
Less likely |
About the same |
Not sure |
| The U.S. Senate has the
constitutional authority to confirm all Supreme Court nominees. Based upon
what you know at this time, should the U.S. Senate confirm Brett Kavanuagh as
a Supreme Court justice? |
Yes |
46% |
53% |
40% |
44% |
47% |
48% |
46% |
33% |
57% |
68% |
24% |
48% |
76% |
38% |
9% |
24% |
39% |
46% |
49% |
53% |
35% |
43% |
53% |
52% |
45% |
49% |
41% |
26% |
50% |
56% |
44% |
47% |
32% |
93% |
62% |
37% |
8% |
37% |
47% |
44% |
51% |
76% |
0% |
47% |
43% |
41% |
54% |
47% |
29% |
12% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
65% |
30% |
15% |
23% |
8% |
78% |
18% |
47% |
4% |
| No |
39% |
37% |
41% |
36% |
41% |
42% |
40% |
53% |
29% |
17% |
64% |
36% |
14% |
45% |
78% |
16% |
33% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
58% |
29% |
18% |
25% |
40% |
36% |
52% |
64% |
38% |
39% |
41% |
41% |
29% |
2% |
12% |
49% |
76% |
0% |
42% |
29% |
28% |
0% |
0% |
41% |
38% |
13% |
43% |
36% |
31% |
24% |
65% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
29% |
53% |
68% |
42% |
30% |
18% |
74% |
24% |
31% |
| Not
sure |
14% |
10% |
19% |
20% |
12% |
10% |
15% |
14% |
15% |
15% |
12% |
17% |
10% |
17% |
14% |
59% |
29% |
14% |
11% |
7% |
7% |
28% |
29% |
23% |
15% |
15% |
7% |
10% |
12% |
6% |
14% |
12% |
39% |
5% |
27% |
14% |
16% |
63% |
12% |
27% |
21% |
24% |
100% |
12% |
19% |
46% |
3% |
17% |
40% |
64% |
35% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
6% |
16% |
17% |
35% |
61% |
4% |
8% |
29% |
65% |
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|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
Gender |
Age |
Race |
Party |
Ideology |
Income |
Education |
Employment |
Trump
Approval |
In
the upcoming midterm election in November are you definitely going to vote,
probably going to vote, probably not going to vote or are you definitely not
going to vote? |
Sometimes,
unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election
Day. Are you certain that you will
vote in this year’s elections, or is it possible that something could come up
that would prevent you from voting? |
How
closely have you followed recent news reports about U.S. Supreme Court
nominee Brett Kavanuagh? |
The
U.S. Senate has the constitutional authority to confirm all Supreme Court
nominees. Based upon what you know at this time, should the U.S. Senate
confirm Brett Kavanuagh as a Supreme Court justice? |
Regardless
of whether or not you believe he should be confirmed, how likely is it that
Brett Kavanuagh will be confirmed as a Supreme Court justice? |
Are
you more likely or less likely to vote for a U.S. senator in your state who
votes to confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanuagh? Or would the
Kavanuagh vote have no impact on your voting decision? |
| LV's |
Male |
Female |
18-39 |
40-64 |
65+ |
White |
Black |
Other |
Republican |
Democrat |
Other |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Not sure |
Under $30,000 |
$30,000 - $50,000 |
$50,000 - $100,000 |
$100,000 - $200,000 |
More than $200,000 |
Not sure |
Attended high school, but did not graduate |
High school graduate |
Attended college, but did not complete |
College graduate |
Graduate school |
Not sure |
Gov't |
Entrepreneur |
Private Co. |
Retired |
Other |
Strongly approve |
Somewhat approve |
Somewhat disapprove |
Strongly disapprove |
Not sure |
Definitely going to vote |
Probably going to vote |
Probably not going to vote |
Definitely not going to vote |
Not sure |
Certain |
Something could prevent you from voting |
Not sure |
Very closely |
Somewhat closely |
Not very closely |
Not at all |
Not sure |
Yes |
No |
Not sure |
Very likely |
Somewhat likely |
Not very likely |
Not at all likely |
Not sure |
More likely |
Less likely |
About the same |
Not sure |
| Regardless of whether or not you
believe he should be confirmed, how likely is it that Brett Kavanuagh will be
confirmed as a Supreme Court justice? |
Very likely |
55% |
60% |
49% |
46% |
58% |
65% |
57% |
31% |
59% |
64% |
42% |
58% |
69% |
46% |
46% |
7% |
50% |
52% |
56% |
65% |
49% |
42% |
50% |
60% |
54% |
53% |
57% |
5% |
54% |
63% |
54% |
59% |
30% |
84% |
49% |
33% |
40% |
3% |
60% |
30% |
31% |
0% |
0% |
58% |
39% |
34% |
68% |
49% |
29% |
10% |
31% |
77% |
40% |
23% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
77% |
40% |
48% |
13% |
| Somewhat
likely |
29% |
26% |
31% |
35% |
26% |
23% |
27% |
41% |
28% |
25% |
36% |
26% |
21% |
37% |
35% |
10% |
34% |
29% |
31% |
25% |
27% |
22% |
24% |
18% |
32% |
34% |
26% |
21% |
36% |
22% |
30% |
24% |
38% |
13% |
38% |
41% |
37% |
11% |
28% |
39% |
30% |
0% |
15% |
29% |
34% |
18% |
22% |
40% |
37% |
13% |
13% |
19% |
40% |
33% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
17% |
43% |
29% |
28% |
| Not
very likely |
8% |
8% |
7% |
10% |
7% |
4% |
6% |
21% |
6% |
3% |
14% |
5% |
4% |
7% |
11% |
45% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
4% |
20% |
2% |
25% |
10% |
6% |
2% |
11% |
57% |
1% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
16% |
1% |
1% |
14% |
13% |
34% |
6% |
11% |
28% |
76% |
0% |
7% |
13% |
14% |
6% |
6% |
12% |
25% |
33% |
3% |
13% |
9% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
4% |
10% |
11% |
4% |
| Not
at all likely |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
2% |
1% |
0% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
3% |
0% |
10% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
3% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
| Not
sure |
8% |
5% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
9% |
3% |
5% |
7% |
7% |
9% |
6% |
9% |
7% |
38% |
5% |
10% |
6% |
5% |
3% |
33% |
0% |
11% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
6% |
8% |
5% |
17% |
2% |
12% |
9% |
9% |
51% |
5% |
19% |
11% |
24% |
85% |
6% |
12% |
34% |
3% |
4% |
20% |
52% |
23% |
1% |
6% |
33% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
100% |
1% |
4% |
12% |
54% |
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| Survey
Demographics |
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Total |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LV's |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gender |
Male |
48% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Female |
52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LV's |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Age |
18-39 |
37% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 40-64 |
47% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 65+ |
16% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LV's |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Race |
White |
70% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Black |
12% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Other |
18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LV's |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Party |
Republican |
33% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Democrat |
34% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Other |
33% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
