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Democrats Maintain Their Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot

Democrats Maintain Their Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot

Democrats maintain a slight lead on this week’s Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

The latest telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-one percent (41%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Democrats regained their lead over Republicans two weeks ago and have held a four-point lead since then.

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Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Wednesdays at 8:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.

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The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 10-14, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

In the U.S. House of Representatives, all 435 seats are on November’s ballot. Republicans now have a 47-seat majority in the House, so Democrats would need to take away 24 GOP seats to gain control. The big problem is that all but about 50 of the seats are shoo-ins for the party that now holds them.

In the U.S. Senate, 32 seats are up for grabs this November, but 23 of them are now held by Democrats. So Democrats need to hold all 23 of those and pick up two of the Republican seats to win control of the Senate. 

The Supreme Court this week upheld Ohio’s aggressive efforts to purge voter rolls of people who haven’t cast ballots in a while, much to the dismay of liberal voters’ rights groups. But few voters have ever been illegally denied the right to vote, and they think it happens less often than illegally allowing people to vote.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.


The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 10-14, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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