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Impeachment Motivates Anti-Trumpers More Than Pro-Trumpers for 2020

Anti-Trumpers are more likely than President Trump’s supporters to say an impeachment vote will drive them to the polls next year. But voters in general still rank illegal immigration ahead of Trump’s impeachment as an action item for Congress and are evenly divided over whether his impeachment would help or hurt the country.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 45% of all Likely U.S. Voters believe the impeachment of Trump would be good for the country. Just as many (46%) say it would be bad for the country instead. Only three percent (3%) think it would have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

If the Democrat-controlled U.S. House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump, 37% say they are more likely to vote in the 2020 presidential election. Only 13% are less likely to vote, while 48% say an impeachment vote would have no impact on their vote.

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A closer look shows that among voters who see Trump’s impeachment as good for the country, 42% are more likely to vote next year, compared to 37% of those who view impeachment as bad for America. Only seven percent (7%) of pro-impeachment voters are less likely to vote in 2020 if the House acts versus 19% of anti-impeachment voters.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of all voters think Congress should deal with illegal immigration first, followed by 23% who say Trump’s impeachment should be the priority. This compares to 29% and 17% respectively last November. Nineteen percent (19%) say health care should come first. There’s single-digit support for prioritizing spending and the deficit (7%), gun control (7%), economic fairness (6%) and infrastructure (3%).  Three percent (3%) say something else should be Congress’ number one concern.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 1-2, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Voters think Trump has more to lose in the growing Ukraine controversy than leading Democratic presidential hopeful Joe Biden, but they still see the president’s reelection as a surer shot than impeachment

Those under 40 appear to be slightly more enthusiastic supporters of Trump’s impeachment than their elders are and rate it equally with illegal immigration and health care as a congressional priority. Older voters put more emphasis on illegal immigration.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Democrats think Congress should deal with the president’s impeachment first, a view shared by 10% of Republicans and 22% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats see the impeachment of the president as good for the country. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Republicans say it’s a bad move. Among unaffiliated voters, 47% say good, 43% bad.

If the House impeaches Trump, however, Democrats would be only slightly more motivated than the others to vote in next year’s presidential election.

Just over half of all voters say they are likely to vote against Trump next year, and most of them say the president, not the Democratic candidate, is the likeliest reason why. Against the leading Democratic contender, though, it's Trump 47%, Biden 43%.

Fifty percent (50%) say the impeachment and removal of Trump from office would be bad for the economy. Twenty-three (23%) disagree and say it would be good for the economy instead. Nearly as many (20%) think Trump’s removal from office would have no economic impact.

Voters are more likely to blame Trump for the country’s political division but don’t see his defeat next year as a solution to what divides us.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 1-2, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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